China and the US might be signing a first trade deal this month, economist Arthur Kroeber does not see much change. Uncoupling with economies is not possible, he argues, and the trade deal does not deal with the real problems, he tells in The New Yorker.Read More →
Under president Xi Jinping the state has again dominated China’s economy, with private companies holding a second place, says economist Arthur Kroeber at the Edge Markets. And for the coming ten years, he does not see a substantial change.Read More →
After a first symbolic truce, the world should brace for the next phase in the trade war between China and the US, warns leading economist Arthur Kroeber, according to Barron’s. China has stalled its economic reforms and mechanisms to contain the US power fail, and the technology war is likely to resume, he stresses.Read More →
While a signing ceremony seems likely for January, some of the arrangements in the phase one trade deal between China and the US sound impossible to achieve, says economist Arthur Kroeber at Money Week. It “still has some hoops to pass through”, he says.Read More →
A limited trade deal might be in the pipeline for the coming weeks, says leading economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know® in the Stock Daily Dish. But the trade war is far from over, he warns. “There is a material risk (say 20 to 25%) that we don‘t get a deal.”Read More →
Arthur Kroeber Managing Director and Head of Research, GaveKal Dragonomics, Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy, Brookings-Tsinghua Center Travels from: New York Arthur Kroeber is a respected writer and commentator on the Chinese economy and Chinese companies. He has been the managing director and head of research at Dragonomics since 2002. In 2016 he publishedRead More →
Private companies have a hard time getting bank loans, says economist Arthur Kroeber to Barron’s. But that is nothing new, he adds, the problem is that state-owned companies get loans too easy. That division is more important than the level of China’s debts, he adds. “Too much attention has been paid to the debt problem.”Read More →
For a while, China’s Renminbi or Yuan looked like a potential competitor in international markets. But China has lost that opportunity, says economist Arthur Kroeber in OZY. “Who’s going to issue or buy bonds in a market where liquidity can be turned off at the drop of a hat?” he asks.Read More →
The phase-1 trade deal between China and the US is a non-deal paving the way out of an untenable situation, says leading economist Arthur Kroeber in Money Week.Read More →
US companies make US$544 billion in annual revenue in China, much more than the US exports to China, warns economist Arthur Kroeber at Barrons. Global companies will feel the heat.Read More →
One year into the trade war, China’s negotiators have not been convinced US President Donald Trump is having the upper hand, says economist Arthur Kroeber to the Washington Post.Read More →
New tariffs are not the main worry, as new shots are fired in the trade war between China and the US, says economist Arthur Kroeber according to Barron’s. Next is the upcoming disengagement between both economies and the question of what domains will be involved.Read More →