China´s debts level has reached record heights, but the state will continue to guarantee sovereign debts, writes financial analyst Sara Hsu. And that support is also extended to state-owned companies like Cosco and ChemChina, despite downward pressures from the rating agencies, she argues in the Diplomat.
Many growth indexes in China might point south, consumer spending is one of the few that might indicate government policies might be working, writes financial analyst Sara Hsu in the Diplomat. Americans still consume per capita 53 times more goods and services than Chinese, so there is much room to growth, she says.
China has faced a record outflow of capital since the end of 2015. Efforts to stop that outflow, maybe needed, delay severely the planned liberalization of the financial markets, writes financial analyst Sara Hsu in the Diplomat. “The rate of change is dissatisfying to those calling for reform.”
Nothing is moving fast, but slowly China´s central bank PBOC will loosing its traditionally iron grip on its currency, writes financial analyst Sara Hsu in the Diplomat. Linking the Renminbi to a basket of currencies in stead of only the US dollar failed in the past, but might work out now.
The anti-corruption campaign has hit China´s financial industry midships, and is now in the process of derailing the announced reforms, warns financial analyst Sara Hsu in the Diplomat, despite China´s inclusion into the IMF currency basket and the lifting of the deposit interest rate ceiling.
For some time shadow banking emerged in China as a potentially dangerous tumor on its financial system, but seemed to have faded away when the real estate crisis hit the country. Financial analyst Sara Hsu has a thorough look at the current state of the industry in the Diplomat. Is shadow banking dead?
China still has amazing growth figures, but not everybody is going to win the structural change the country is going through. Financial analyst Sara Hsu gives in the Diplomat an overview of the industries who relied on China´s double-digit growth an that will likely be hurt: commodities, real estate, import of goods and services.
Slowly the first details of the upcoming new Five-year plan are emerging. A two-child policy, Innovation, green development, opening of the financial markets and better social insurances are on the agenda. Financial analyst Sara Hsu calls them in The Diplomat pretty realistic, because they build on existing plans.