After a slow start, after opening up after COVID-19, China’s economy is showing slow signs of recovery this autumn, says Shanghai-based business analyst Ben Cavender in the state-owned China Daily.Read More →
Leading economist Arthur Kroeber discusses China’s economic state and looks at the gloomy predictions from other economists. We do not have enough post-COVID-19 data to draw firm conclusions, he argues, and goes on to take down three schools of gloom in current economic thinking about China’s future, at the Fairbank Center for Chinese Studies. Read More →
A default of the US is highly unlikely, even in the current chaotic political setting in the United States, says leading China economist Arthur Kroeber, but today the risks for China are much higher than during the 2008-2009 crisis. A crisis would not offer an opportunity to build an international financial system around the Renminbi, next to the US dollar, he adds in the ChinaFile.Read More →
Veteran investor Jim Rogers discusses with Brad Carr what happens to China’s economy and its global implications now the country’s real estate bubble has popped.Read More →
China has a longstanding tradition of bailing out large debtors using huge asset management companies (AMCs). But today they cannot solve the country’s real estate problems, says political and financial analyst Victor Shih to the Japan Times. “Any state injection into the AMCs could add further strain to the nation’s finances,” says Victor ShihRead More →
China’s real economic problem: they increase capital spending, but are not able to improve productivity that is already at a shockingly low level, says leading economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know®, at a panel at CSIS discussing with Thomas Orlik, Chief Economist for Bloomberg Economics, and author of the book, China: The Bubble That Never Pops. While an economic collapse is unlikely, a grinding halt to economic development might be its largest danger, Kroeber adds.Read More →
Almost half a year ago the real estate giant Evergrande started to fall apart under its 300 billion US dollar debts, but the collapse – expected by many – has not yet emerged. Financial analyst Sara Hsu explains in the Commercial Observer why this collapse has not happened.Read More →
Financial and political analyst Victor Shih explains how the fall of Evergrande was triggered off by new financial regulations, and why Evergrande cannot be compared to the Lehman crisis in the US, he tells at a discussion at the German MERICS institute.Read More →
China faces not only its most prominent problem Evergrande but a range of issues, says leading economist Arthur Kroeber in the New York Times. Shortage of electricity, dealing with its big tech companies and many other in-debted giants offer similar challenges. “The common feature of these crises: All were triggered by government policies,” he writes.Read More →
Debts hanging over China are far more structural and the possible demise of property giant Evergrande is only a symptom of a much larger problem, says fintech expert Sara Hsu according to the Market Research TelecastRead More →
Despite the trade tensions between China and the US, many tech companies from China still turn to American stock markets for their need for capital. Shanghai-based VC William Bao Bean explains why China’s markets can still not match the capital requirements of domestic companies, he tells at Emerge 2020.Read More →
Devaluation of the Renminbi, limiting export or more straining of capital flight are some options China’s government has to deal with its financial dilemma caused by the trade war, but – warns financial expert Victor Shih – all might also cause setbacks, he tells Reuters.Read More →