Former Shanghai-based foreign correspondent Howard French recently returned to Shanghai for the first time after corona and takes stock of its current state, by talking to Chinese and foreign residents in the city. In Foreign Policy he reports about these findings. French: “All I can say with certainty is that we are all in for a turbulent, costly, and possibly dangerous ride.”Read More →
Whether the world is heading for a recession does not depend on the state of China’s economy, but on demand in de US, says China economist Arthur Kroeber at the CNBC. In the eyes of Xi Jinping, China is not doing as bad as some economists say it does, he adds.Read More →
The golden age for expats in China has ended, argues consultant Gabor Holch, author of Dragon Suit: The Golden Age of Expatriate Executives In China. But that decline already started in 2016, so it is not only the Covid pandemic that can be blamed for that dramatic change, he says.Read More →
Unlike their counterparts in the rest of the world, China’s youngsters are fiercely saving their money, says business analyst Shaun Rein at CNBC. “Unlike youths in the 2010s who often spent more than they earned and borrowed money to buy fancy items like Gucci handbags and Apple iPhone, young Chinese have started saving more,” he told CNBC. Read More →
Business analyst Shaun Rein discusses the current state of China’s economy, how consumer confidence is slowly recovering, and why the fear of geopolitical tensions stops them from spending more in the economy. Why investors should be careful in investing right now into the second economy.Read More →
After a lackluster start of 2024, consumer expert Ben Cavender sees a modest improvement in consumer sentiment in China, he tells Reuters. He said some companies were thinking about how to grow their business in China again after years of holding off on investing, which was helping sentiment to improve.Read More →
The USA is dealing with huge problems and cannot afford to challenge China directly, but decided to stabilize the relations between both countries, says Shanghai-based business analyst Shaun Rein to CNBC-TV18. But the USA is for sure keeping economic pressure going, he adds.Read More →
Bestseller author Shaun Rein’s post-pandemic book on US-China relations, “The Split: How US-China Conflict is Changing China’s Economy and Consumer Behaviour” is ready for pre-order and will appear in early September 2024.Read More →
China’s consumers are still nervous, the economy is weak, but looking good in the longer run, says Shanghai-based business analyst Shaun Rein at CNBC. Consumers are trading down now, but both real estate and infrastructure are not helping the economy, he adds. In the next decade, China’s middle class will grow from 400 to 800 million. Rein saw many of his clients move temporarily to Japan but is sure they will return to China.Read More →
Multinationals do not have to look at Vietnam and India as a replacement for China, says business analyst Shaun Rein at CNBC. In the next ten years China’s middle class is going to grow massively, and cannot be beaten by anybody else, he adds. “About 400 million poorer Chinese are getting into the middle class in the years to come,” he says.Read More →
Financial expert Victor Shih dives into the 2024 figures at the annual NPC and concludes China cannot roll over debts anymore and finance its budget like it did before. He tells Bloomberg that central state policies have increasingly replaced a market-driven economy.Read More →
Inequality has been one of China’s central problems, writes author and journalist Zhang Lijia in the South China Morning Post. There is no shortage of efforts to fix it, she argues, and while China has dealt with poverty successfully, getting to common prosperity, as it is called, seems much harder to achieve.Read More →