Investors have a hard time in figuring out what is happening in China. There are a few basics, says economist Arthur Kroeber, where they often get it wrong, he tells Benefits Canada, and he tries to address them.Read More →
China has three scenario´s to choose from by the end of next year, when the new Party Congress convenes, tells author Arthur Kroeber,China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know®, at the European Council of Foreign Relations. Or Russia-style nationalism, Japan-style slowdown 2.0 or a Singapore on steroids.Read More →
Foreign media see – wrongly – often many crises appearing in China, writes economist Arthur Kroeber in his upcoming book China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know®. The Australian Financial Review has an early review. There are problems, but “he does not see a headline-grabbing crisis, rather a slow Japanese-style decline.”Read More →
China´s GDP dropped to 6.4% and while many countries would be happy with such a growth, it creates a major problems for China, as current debts cannot be served, warns financial expert Victor Shih in Bloomberg.Read More →
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has China high on his agenda, and not for the good. All wrong, writes financial analyst Sara Hsu in the Diplomat. The US needs to keep a positive relationship with China, she argues.Read More →
Much reform to a market-driven economy has been achieved in 2015, wrote the National Development and Reform Commission’s (NDRC) Report on the Implementation of the 2015 Plan. But there is much left to do says financial analyst Sara Hsu in the Diplomat.Read More →
China´s leaders have announced that reform (and even merger) of state-owned enterprises are high on the political agenda. But at the same time, the central government does not want to lose control. Can both ambitions go together, wonders financial analyst Sara Hsu in the Diplomat. Mixed ownership does not mean an orientation on the market.Read More →
China is trying to boost the economy by opening its credit lines again, but that credit mainly serves the state-owned companies, while the private sector is suffering, explains financial analyst Victor Shih in Bloomberg.Read More →
China can avoid the economic traps Japan and Brazil fell into, but only when it is going to take the liberalization of its financial markets serious, writes economist Arthur Kroeber for the Nikkei Magazine. But “on the core issues of debt control and pruning the state sector there is little evidence of progress.”Read More →
Economist Arthur Kroeber might have been an acknowledged bull on China´s economy in the past, now, for 2016 he expects things to turn worse than they are already, as the heavy industry is expected to shed 7 million jobs, he tells at NPR.Read More →
Many growth indexes in China might point south, consumer spending is one of the few that might indicate government policies might be working, writes financial analyst Sara Hsu in the Diplomat. Americans still consume per capita 53 times more goods and services than Chinese, so there is much room to growth, she says.Read More →
The ups and especially downs of China´s economy keeps on shocking the rest of the world. What can we expect, economist Arthur Kroeber asks for the Brookings Institute. Did the international markets overreact? In China more commitment to reform is needed.Read More →