Whether China property bubble is popping, or more slowly evaporating, the effects on its economy will be enormous. Financial analyst Sara Hsu lists three of the most important effects for The Diplomat. She predicts no crash, but very serious effects indeed.Read More →
After Alibaba filed this week its paperwork for its upcoming IPO. Business analyst Ben Cavender looks at its great profitability, but also risk from competition in e-commerce and fear for pressure fro the big Chinese banks.Read More →
Financial analysts Sara Hsu has been predicting doomsday scenario´s for China´s financial stability in the past. But the announced financial reforms have made her carefully optimistic about the direction the country is taking, she writes in the China Brief.Read More →
China´s financial authorities try to fight illegal fundraising, as one of the features of shadow banking. Financial analyst Sara Hsu give in The Diplomat an overview of this tradition, that has boomed with the country´s economic growth.Read More →
China has promised wide-ranging financial reforms, moving from repression to the market. That is a much-needed change tells economist Arthur Kroeber in the Institutional Investor, to allow household to use their earnings in a more sensible way.Read More →
Shadow banking was one of those China issues that kept financial people awake at night. But after a decade of studying shadow banking, Sara Hsu argues in Triple Crisis that the issue has been cut up in manageable parts, and will fade away by 2015. Read More →
Against many predictions, China´s economy is doing relatively well and business analyst Shaun Rein does not see the need for a stimulus to fire up growth now, he tells CNBC.Read More →
Financial analyst Sara Hsu tries to make sense out of the long list of policy changes the central bank, the People´s Bank of China (PBOC) has announced in the past year, under the Xi-Li government. “Right now, the opaque is becoming more transparent,” she writes in The Diplomat.Read More →
Some second and third tier cities in China report house buying has come to a standstill, while high-end property markets in first tier cities report a huge influx of buyers from China. Financial analyst Sara Hsu looks in the Diplomat at both opposing trends and how the middle class might get hit.Read More →
China´s financial authorities have a hard job in controlling the flows of hot capital in and out the country. Often misinvoicing is a way to mask those money flows. Financial expert Sara Hsu offers in the Diplomat a way to track this long-standing tradition of misinvoicing.Read More →
Two weeks ago financial expert Sara Hsu had a thorough look at the complex and very different products that constitute the shadow banking industry in China. For Triple Crisis she summarized those products and risks in a useful framework, allowing assessing risk levels of different products.Read More →
A first US$ 600 million default of a real estate company might be the beginning of more, tells business analyst Ben Cavender at Tradingfloor.com. Slower growth might trigger off more default in real estate, and the government will try to control the process, not bail everybody out.Read More →