China is ahead of a range of challenging decisions, writes economist Arthur Kroeber in BloombergView. There is a real danger China will enter economic stagnation just like Japan did in the past, and Kroeber is not sure China´s leadership can avoid the same mistakes Japan made.Read More →
China has three scenario´s to choose from by the end of next year, when the new Party Congress convenes, tells author Arthur Kroeber,China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know®, at the European Council of Foreign Relations. Or Russia-style nationalism, Japan-style slowdown 2.0 or a Singapore on steroids.Read More →
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has China high on his agenda, and not for the good. All wrong, writes financial analyst Sara Hsu in the Diplomat. The US needs to keep a positive relationship with China, she argues.Read More →
Is Xi Jinping striving for a more efficient economy or does he want to solidify party control, wonders economist Arthur Kroeber in the Australian Financial Review. “There is growing concern that Xi has tipped the scales in favour of political control, at the expense of economic growth,”Read More →
China´s lawmakers arrive in Beijing for their annual meeting and finance is high on their agenda´s. And opinions are divided, says political analyst Victor Shih to Bloomberg, for example when it comes to the fiscal deficit.Read More →
China is trying to boost the economy by opening its credit lines again, but that credit mainly serves the state-owned companies, while the private sector is suffering, explains financial analyst Victor Shih in Bloomberg.Read More →
China can avoid the economic traps Japan and Brazil fell into, but only when it is going to take the liberalization of its financial markets serious, writes economist Arthur Kroeber for the Nikkei Magazine. But “on the core issues of debt control and pruning the state sector there is little evidence of progress.”Read More →
While the Chinese stock markets did not plunge after trade resumed after the Chinese New Year, business analyst Shaun Rein expects the markets to remain volatile for the next 3 to 4 months, he tells Money Control.Read More →
Almost a trillion US dollar worth of capital has left China over the past year, showing a profound lack of confidence among its citizens, tells business analyst Shaun Rein in the New York Times. “Companies don’t want renminbi and individuals don’t want renminbi.”Read More →
Disappearing Hong Kong publishers have put them on the international agenda. Journalist Ian Johnson got the opportunity to interview HK publisher Bao Pu on his critical books about China and his kidnapped colleagues for the New York Review of Books.Read More →
China is not only struggling to manage its unruly financial markets, North-Korea´s latest nuclear test shows that international diplomacy is not yet one of its strong point, says political analyst Paul French in America Magazine. Managing North-Korea from Beijing is no longer possible.Read More →
Beijing underwent for the first time a code red for pollution: officially the worst air quality ever. But the air had been worse before, even a week earlier. Beijing-based journalist Ian Johnson sees a silver lining on the code red: the people and the politicians start to see things have to change, he writes in the New York Review of Books. And that is good new for the Paris talks.Read More →