Under Xi Jinping, China’s system for picking its top leader, set up by Deng Xiaoping, has changed dramatically, writes China analyst Ian Johnson. The world has to look at a different China, that might be less stable, he tells CNN.Read More →
Political analyst Ian Johnson answers some basic questions on the upcoming 5-yearly meeting of the Chinese Communist Party at the website of the Council of Foreign Affairs. Most Polit bureau members will retire, Premier Li Keqiang will prepare for his replacement in March, and secretary-general Xi Jinping will be re-elected for his third term. What will it mean for Xi’s position?Read More →
At China’s top leadership, it was always possible for different political agendas to exist next to each other. But since 2012 next to Xi Jinping – up for his unprecedented third term as CCP party secretary – very few variations in leadership style have been given room, says political analyst Victor Shih at the ABC. The retirement of premier Li Keqiang finalizes Xi’s powerful position, he adds. China’s next premier is likely to be a good friend of Xi, while women and ethnic minorities make little chance.Read More →
Political analyst Victor Shih, author of the recently released book Coalitions of the Weak, looks – weeks ahead of the 20th Party Congress, at defining moments in the history of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) at the Centre of Geopolitics.Read More →
China veteran lawyer Mark Schaub looks back at the three decades he was involved with China and assesses how the country might look like in 2023, in his China chit-chat. What can larger foreign companies and the smaller ones expect? And of course: what is happening to the joint ventures?Read More →
China has a longstanding tradition of bailing out large debtors using huge asset management companies (AMCs). But today they cannot solve the country’s real estate problems, says political and financial analyst Victor Shih to the Japan Times. “Any state injection into the AMCs could add further strain to the nation’s finances,” says Victor ShihRead More →
Tense relations between China and the US, a pandemic, and limited access to the country are firmly limiting a new generation of China hands to explore a career in the second economy of the world, says China professor Victor Shih in the South China Morning Post. “China was [once] seen as a kind of land of opportunity for young foreigners. That is no longer the case,” said Shih, Read More →
Financial analyst Winston Ma discusses the progress of the plan to delist Chinese companies from US stock markets on CNBC. It’s mostly China that has to comply with the US demands for transparency, he says about this work in progress.Read More →
China’s real economic problem: they increase capital spending, but are not able to improve productivity that is already at a shockingly low level, says leading economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know®, at a panel at CSIS discussing with Thomas Orlik, Chief Economist for Bloomberg Economics, and author of the book, China: The Bubble That Never Pops. While an economic collapse is unlikely, a grinding halt to economic development might be its largest danger, Kroeber adds.Read More →
Political analyst Victor Shih, author of Coalitions of the Weak, (2022), looks at the new policies and people emerging ahead of the upcoming 20th Party Congress. While party-secretary Xi Jinping will be up for a third term, Premier Li Keqiang, typically in charge of economic affairs will be replaced, he tells at the China Edge.Read More →
Leading political analyst Victor Shih joins a panel at the Atlantic Council to discuss China’s top leadership, including the different style premier Li Keqiang tries to display in a situation where little deviation from the top leadership is possible. Including the leadership perspective on the Shanghai lockdown.Read More →
Even now the regulatory storm in the tech sector seems to be calm for the moment, but political analyst Victor Shih still expects that investors will be unsure about their future in China, as the next storm never seems far away, he tells at Bloomberg.Read More →