Victor Shih of the Northwestern University has been doing much of the legwork to find out how much China’s debt actually is, much higher than China’s financial authorities want to admit, he writes on this blog of the Financial Times. Much of the country’s financial bubble remains underground.
At the end of April, Baotou-based Chinese billionaire Jin Libin set himself on fire to escape his creditors. His method of dealing with the situation was disturbing enough, but the structure of his debt was equally shocking. Investigators found that his billion renminbi business owed banks only 150 million RMB, but owed individual creditors and informal banks Rmb1.23bn.
In other words, he owed private creditors and informal banks over eight times what he owed the banks. Although extreme, Jin’s debt situation suggests a highly risky debt bubble that seems to be growing without much control outside of the banking system.
- Fuzhou bomber gets a martyr status – Victor Shih (chinaspeakersbureau.info)
- China: less of a miracle – Victor Shih (chinaherald.net)
- China’s government still controls economy – Victor Shih (chinaherald.net)