Arthur Kroeber

Observers watch the proceedings at the G20 in Japan as Donald Trump and Xi Jinping will try to hammer out a kind of trade deal. But getting a deal that makes both sides happy is virtually impossible, says economist Arthur Kroeber in the South China Morning Post.

The South China Morning Post:

Arthur Kroeber, research head and co-founder of Gavekal Dragonomics, wrote in a note that “it will be very tricky to come up with a deal that satisfies the political requirements on both sides.”

Trump, a Republican, decided to break off negotiations in early May because a deal would be a “political liability” for him if right-wing hardliners and Democratic opponents saw its terms as inadequate.

In China, the terms negotiated by Vice-Premier Liu He, Xi’s top economic aide, were “politically unsaleable,” with powerful forces in Beijing suggesting US demands were excessive, Kroeber added.

More in the South China Morning Post.

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