China’s financial institutions ponder on the pros and cons of a currency devaluation as the effects of the trade war with the US start to kick in. While devaluation is on the agenda, it would be a tricky road, says financial analyst Victor Shih, author of Factions and Finance in China: Elite Conflict and Inflation, at CapitalWatch.
Media are looking for winners and losers in the trade war between China and the US, and while damage can be inflicted in the short run, China is going to outlast an economic war with the US, says renowned economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know to Money Week.
Western media have been portraying China’s massive investment program One Belt, One Road (OBOR) or Belt Road Initiative (BRI) as a colonial trick to put developing countries into debt, and then seize their assets. Business analyst Andy Mok sees debt problems as a normal business risk in highly complicated investments on infrastructure, he tells at the state-owned CGTN.
The Trump team has started trade talks in Beijing, but it is very unlikely they will get anywhere, says economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know®, in CBS. The internal divisions in the US team are only a part of the problems to gain ground, he says.
Unlike the bully-like approach of Donald Trump, China has sent a carefully calibrated messages, trying to avoid a devastating trade war, says renowned economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know® to the South China Morning Post and the Washington Post. China has more cards up its sleeves, he suggests.
The appointment of Liu He as president Xi Jinping’s economic top man has started speculations on his political direction, including a restart of reforms. We should not expect Liu to divert too much from the state-driven economic agenda Xi has already set out in the past few years, says leading economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know® to the New York Times.
China faces a financial dilemma, as it wants economic growth, and forces local governments to borrow more money, against the wishes of the central government, says financial and political analyst Victor Shih in the CeMEAS Conversations on China’s economic future. But external threats to the country’s stability do exist, he adds.