China and the US might have their first evaluation of their 6-month old trade agreement soon, but the cross-currents between both countries are here to stay, says Berkeley Research Group managing director Harry Broadman to Bloomberg Markets. China kept largely its promises, while the US cannot afford to take on China in a more aggressive way, he says.
Trade negotiations between the US and China have moved away from substantial issues, as the Trump administration is using the ongoing trade war as a tool to win the presidential elections in the US 2020, says Harry Broadman, former top trade and economic adviser to Presidents George H.W. Bush and Bill Clinton to CNBC.
The US administration is trying to decouple its economy from China’s. And while there might be some arguments in favor of that position, the treat of decoupling for the world economy is huge, says international trade expert Harry Broadman in Forbes (here in pdf-format). Down the line, the US and global economies will be worse off, he warns.
Devaluating the Yuan and dumping US treasuries regular pop up as ‘nuclear options’ China has in its trade war with the US. Financial and political analyst Victor Shih explains why that might be a wrong idea. “These options are not credible, because they conflict with other important policy objectives of China,” he writes at the China File.