After a first symbolic truce, the world should brace for the next phase in the trade war between China and the US, warns leading economist Arthur Kroeber, according to Barron’s. China has stalled its economic reforms and mechanisms to contain the US power fail, and the technology war is likely to resume, he stresses.
The US administration is trying to decouple its economy from China’s. And while there might be some arguments in favor of that position, the treat of decoupling for the world economy is huge, says international trade expert Harry Broadman in Forbes (here in pdf-format). Down the line, the US and global economies will be worse off, he warns.
The world, including China, is still trying to make sense out of the Trump/Xi trade talks. The Trump trade team is fighting the wrong battle, argues former U.S. Assistant Trade Representative Harry Broadman for Gulf News. “The Trump trade team continues to fight the wrong battle with China.”
The upcoming Trump-Xi meeting in Argentina generates some hope, but economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know®, does not expect a fast end to the ongoing trade war between the world’s largest economies, he tells at NPR. NPR: ARTHUR KROEBER: I think people in the U.S.
China’s accession into the World Trade Organization (WTO) was hailed as an important step of the now second-largest economy into the global trade community. But those illusions are over, says trade expert Harry Broadman to Gulfnews. “China has forfeited its right to be treated as a WTO market economy.”
China is adamant when it says it does not want to replace the United States as an international player. But what does it want, asks The Diplomat Shaun Rein, author of The War for China’s Wallet: Profiting from the New World Order. ” Many nations feel Western, historically ethnically white nations have an outsized say in institutions like the World Bank or IMF and feel the U.S. contains their growth.”
US president Donald Trump has been going aggressively after China as a trade partner. But is it working? Political analyst Sara Hsu does not think so, she explains in Forbes.”From the Boston tea party to the Smoot Hawley tariffs imposed during the Great Depression, protectionist measures have always imposed far higher costs than benefits.”
US president Donald Trump’s bilateral approach for solving trade issues would have worked in 1818, not in 2018, writes China veteran Harry Broadman in the Gulf News. The US do have serious trade problems with China, but the US would be better off if Trump would be able to create more alliances.
North and South Korea have started talks, potentially defusing the tension in the region. Time for a new and more positive approach of China’s unruly neighbor, says Harry Broadman, former PwC Emerging Markets Investment Leader; in Gulf News. For example by nurturing the country’s private sector. It might be coming as a surprise for many, but North Korea does have a private sector, Broadman writes.