By trying to take on China alone on trade, the US failed to achieve real results in its first trade deal, says trade-veteran Harry Broadman to Bloomberg. China did not adhere to the multilateral trade deal it closed by joining the WTO, but Donald Trump failed to address the issues related to that.Read More →
China and the US might be signing a first trade deal this month, economist Arthur Kroeber does not see much change. Uncoupling with economies is not possible, he argues, and the trade deal does not deal with the real problems, he tells in The New Yorker.Read More →
Under president Xi Jinping the state has again dominated China’s economy, with private companies holding a second place, says economist Arthur Kroeber at the Edge Markets. And for the coming ten years, he does not see a substantial change.Read More →
After a first symbolic truce, the world should brace for the next phase in the trade war between China and the US, warns leading economist Arthur Kroeber, according to Barron’s. China has stalled its economic reforms and mechanisms to contain the US power fail, and the technology war is likely to resume, he stresses.Read More →
While a signing ceremony seems likely for January, some of the arrangements in the phase one trade deal between China and the US sound impossible to achieve, says economist Arthur Kroeber at Money Week. It “still has some hoops to pass through”, he says.Read More →
Financial analyst Sara Hsu compares on her weblog China and the US in trying to see if they are using different methods for getting a competitive advantage. Both do spy on each other and third countries, and China uses the One Belt, One Road (BRI) program to expand its power.Read More →
A limited trade deal might be in the pipeline for the coming weeks, says leading economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know® in the Stock Daily Dish. But the trade war is far from over, he warns. “There is a material risk (say 20 to 25%) that we don‘t get a deal.”Read More →
Getting into hot water with China’s consumers, its government or both happens regularly to foreign brands. Business analyst Shaun Rein uses the latest NBA-upheaval to explain how those boycotts work, and how foreign brands can deal with them, according to the Marketplace.Read More →
China-lawyer Mark Schaub gives a detailed overview of the drafted legal improvements foreign investors can expect when the phase 1 trade agreement will be in place. For example, the VIE’s will largely remain safe. That is, warns Mark Schaub, a huge if, he writes at the weblog of his law firm King & Wood Mallesons.Read More →
Hong Kong is economically on a downhill slope and its current problems do not help the city to stop that, says Jim Rogers, veteran investor, at his weblog. “China’s opening up so we don’t need Hong Kong anymore.”Read More →
The number of rich Chinese families has dropped, although only slightly, says this year’s Hurun Wealth Report, according to the China Daily. Both a dropping economy and the trade war triggered off the effect, says Rupert Hoogewerf, chairman of the Hurun Report, now in its 11th year.Read More →
Private companies have a hard time getting bank loans, says economist Arthur Kroeber to Barron’s. But that is nothing new, he adds, the problem is that state-owned companies get loans too easy. That division is more important than the level of China’s debts, he adds. “Too much attention has been paid to the debt problem.”Read More →